Vlad and Bibi's War
Who is winning the Iran War?
In the 21st century, nobody wins a war. The risks of escalation are too great. Human hubris combined with the availability of nuclear, biological, and AI cyber weapons could inadvertently generate an apocalypse. It is too easy for someone, or some “thing”, to make a mistake or take a misstep that can’t be undone.
Vlad and Bibi Con Job
Vlad and Bibi conned the orange schoolyard bully into using the American military to achieve their objectives.
Who Wins
Not the United States of America!
America’s adversaries, oligarchs, and various fringe right-wing organizations benefit as they facilitate and hasten America’s abandonment of its founding principles.
The apparent winners are:
Russia
Russia is not directly involved in the Iran War but benefits “bigly.” If Trump is involved, Vladimir Putin always wins!
America is distracted from its wavering support of Ukraine in Russia’s war on Ukraine.
Vlad coerces Trump into reducing oil export sanctions related to the war in Ukraine to protect the world oil market.
Russia’s floundering economy is bolstered by the rising price of oil from $70 to $100+ $/gal. Russia’s break-even oil price is said to be about $59/gal.
Russia makes super profits on sanctioned and unsanctioned oil sales.
Israel
Bibi, like Trump, excels at deflection and distraction. He promotes constant Middle East conflicts to distract the Israeli public from any judicial accountability for his alleged charges of corruption.
Bibi gets the American military to help him defang his long-term “bogeyman”, Iran.
Trump
The Iran war is a crude and dangerous attempt to deflect and distract the American People’s attention from the tightening vise of the “Epstein Files.”
The Trump Family
Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump have invested in Powerus (a Florida-based drone manufacturing company). Daddy Trump starts wars while his sons get set up to profit from selling weapons to the Pentagon. This latest deal is piled on top of cryptocurrency deals funded through Persian Gulf state sovereign wealth funds and wealthy Arabs.
Jared Kushner (President Trump’s son-in-law and son of Bibi Netanyahu’s friend, Charles Kushner) uses his US government and family contacts to generate profits from Middle East business deals with Israel, Saudi Arabia, and others through his venture capital firm, Affinity Partners.
Michael Boulos (President Trump’s other son-in-law, married to Tiffany Trump in 2022) has used his family contacts to negotiate corrupt inter-family business transactions and attempt to curry favor with wealthy Arab businessmen and influence foreign governments.
China and America’s Adversaries
China has dispatched ships to the Gulf of Oman to surveil American military tactics and strategies. Their surveillance is intended to teach them how to thwart and defeat any American military defense against China’s anticipated annexation of Taiwan in 2027.
The Iran war’s depletion of America’s military arsenal incentivizes China to act sooner rather than later on its annexation of Taiwan.
Christian Nationalists
Christian Nationalist pro-Zionist crusaders (Pete Hegseth, et al.), in control of the US military, are misusing the US military to crush Iran for 11th-century Catholic Christian religious motives.
Israeli Zionists
Israeli Zionist settlers are using the Israeli-American war on Iran to deflect and distract global attention from their accelerating settlement of the “West Bank” territory and its displacement of Palestinians.
Who Are the Collateral Damage Victims
Pretty much all humans — one way or another — will be affected to their detriment by the war with Iran.
The BIG victims are, or will be:
The Iranian People
The Iranian government is a theocracy supported by a terrorist organization, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The IRGC’s purposes are to: 1) protect the Iranian theocracy from revolutions and coup d’etats; 2) export the “Twelver” branch of Shia Islam and its theocratic polity; 3) export terrorism to redress long-standing grievances against Israel and Western civilization. The Iranian government drives the IRGC to execute its objectives with ruthless impunity.
The Iranian people are persecuted if they do not adhere to the dictates of their Twelver Shia Islamic theocracy. Then, they are overwhelmed by bombing by the Israeli and American militaries.
No matter which side they choose, they lose.
Persian Gulf countries
Iran cannot win a war against Israel and America involving direct military confrontation. They are “out-gunned.”
Their most effective offense is asymmetric targeting of the high-value military, economic, civilian, and cultural assets of adversaries and their allies using relatively low-cost weapons (drones, missiles, sleeper terrorist cells inside the territory of adversaries, etc.).
Iran has attacked the oil and gas production facilities and is threatening to attack the water-generating desalination facilities of its Gulf state neighbors, who are allies of America.
In some cases, it will take years to repair industrial capacity to pre-war levels.
Iran has effectively closed the primary Middle East oil and gas seaborne export corridor, the Strait of Hormuz. A large percentage of the world’s crude oil, petroleum liquids, gasoline, heating oil, diesel, liquid natural gas(LNG), fertilizer, sulfur, and other critical chemical exports flow through the Strait of Hormuz
Random attacks on oil tankers attempting to transit the strait have effectively closed the strait without Iran using its limited military assets.
The economic effects on Persian Gulf oil and gas producers will be more devastating as the war continues.
Lebanon
Iran’s proxy, Hezbollah, attacked Israel from Lebanon in retaliation for the Israeli-American attacks on Iran.
Israel responded by attacking Lebanese villages in Southern Lebanon and bombing Hezbollah targets in Lebanon and the capital of Lebanon, Beirut.
Thousands of Lebanese residents have been killed and a million displaced since the War on Iran started on February 28, 2026.
Ukraine
Ukraine’s allies need to be focused on supporting Ukraine in its war against Russia.
The Israeli-American war with Iran diverts a significant amount of American, EU, and NATO military, financial, and political support from Ukraine to the effects of the war on themselves, Middle East countries, and their oil, gas, and mineral industries.
EU countries
As the war with Iran drags on and if the Strait of Hormuz remains throttled, the EU’s economy will be negatively impacted.
The EU sanctioned its Russian oil and gas purchases in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Now that the production and export of Middle Eastern oil and gas have been dramatically reduced, EU countries are considering, or have temporarily lifted, sanctions on Russian oil and gas purchases.
Waiving or reducing sanctions on oil and gas intended to weaken Russia could now have the unintended consequence of making Russia stronger — economically and militarily.
World Oil and Gas Consumers
Oil and gas consumers in India. Pakistan, Japan, South Korea, Indonesia, Australia, and the rest of Southeast Asia rely heavily on Middle East oil and gas products shipped through the Strait of Hormuz.
As the war with Iran drags on and if the Strait of Hormuz remains throttled, these countries’ economies will be negatively impacted.
If the war continues for months, India will be more severely impacted.
India’s dependence on:
Imported Middle East oil and gas, combined with
Its economic trading partnerships with the Gulf states, and
its reliance on income from Indian workers employed by the Gulf states
make India particularly vulnerable economically if the war with Iran persists for more than a few weeks.
The exception is China. China is historically the largest purchaser of Middle Eastern oil and gas products. China prudently purchased and stored four months of oil and gas products (1+ billion barrels) before the start of the war with Iran.
Who Loses
Pretty much all humans will lose — one way or another. Citizens of the apparently winning countries will still be negatively affected economically.
The BIGGEST loser is, or soon will be:
American Hegemony
Since its inception in 1776, America has been viewed as the “go-to” refuge for the oppressed people of the world. The Statue of Liberty’s welcoming message to immigrants:
“Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, the wretched refuse of your teeming shore. Send these, the homeless, tempest-tossed to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door!“
This is no longer true. America is no longer Reagan’s “shining city on a hill.”
The Trump 2.0 regime has turned inward, declaring “America First.”
America is no longer the world’s protector. We are, for now, its biggest bully:
We threatened to annex Greenland.
We alienate our NATO and EU allies.
We threaten to abandon Ukraine.
We staged a coup d’etat in Venezuela.
We are blockading Cuba into submission.
We are now locked in a war with Iran.
America is now a pariah in the same league as Russia and North Korea.
China now seems to be more strategic and rational than America.
Conclusions
America is Fucked! Sorry! Let me repeat that. America is FUCKED!
America will never again be viewed as the world’s liberal, stable haven, and “good” guy.
Now, we are the “America First”, out-of-control, schoolyard bully led by a self-aggrandizing, narcissistic buffoon who is easily manipulated by the likes of Vladimir Putin and Bibi Netanyahu.